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Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles — 2026-05-31

12:15 PM ETOriole Park at Camden YardsSP: Spencer Miles vs Kyle BradishMLB

Model prediction

Toronto Blue Jays
40%
Baltimore Orioles
60%
Projected
Jays 4.4 - 4.5 Orioles

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Baltimore Orioles as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 44-point Elo gap (1497 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Toronto Blue Jays
No recent games on file.
Baltimore Orioles
No recent games on file.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Under 8.0 at -102 at -102. Pre-game: model 55.9% vs market 48.2% implied, a +7.7pp edge.

What happened: Total: 14 (line: under 8).

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

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