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Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians — 2026-09-01

6:40 PM ETProgressive FieldSP: Spencer Arrighetti vs Gavin WilliamsMLBFINAL
Recap

Cleveland Guardians won 6-1 over Toronto Blue Jays on 2026-09-01. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 5 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Toronto Blue Jays
39%
Cleveland Guardians
61%
Projected
Jays 4.4 - 4.5 Guardians

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 50-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Toronto Blue Jays
No recent games on file.
Cleveland Guardians
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Toronto Blue Jays 39% / Cleveland Guardians 61%. Projected Toronto Blue Jays 4.4 — 4.5 Cleveland Guardians.

Our MLB model rates Cleveland Guardians as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 50-point Elo gap (1503 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Toronto Blue Jays ML at +163 at +163. Pre-game: model 43.8% vs market 37.4% implied, a +6.3pp edge.

What happened: Toronto Blue Jays 1 @ Cleveland Guardians 6.

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

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