Chicago Cubs beat Toronto Blue Jays 16-2, a 14-runs margin. We projected Toronto Blue Jays 4.3-4.6 Chicago Cubs and gave Chicago Cubs a 65% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 82-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Toronto Blue Jays 35% / Chicago Cubs 65%. Projected Toronto Blue Jays 4.3 — 4.6 Chicago Cubs.
Our MLB model rates Chicago Cubs as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 82-point Elo gap (1534 vs 1453) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toronto Blue Jays would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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