HomeMLB › Athletics vs Chicago White Sox

Athletics vs Chicago White Sox — 2026-07-10

7:40 PM ETRate FieldSP: Jacob Lopez vs Sean BurkeMLBFINAL
Recap

Chicago White Sox beat Athletics 14-1, a 13-runs margin. We projected Athletics 4.6-4.3 Chicago White Sox and gave Athletics a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it. Our published pick hit.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Athletics
59%
Chicago White Sox
41%
Projected
Athletics 4.6 - 4.3 Sox

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Athletics as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 88-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Athletics
No recent games on file.
Chicago White Sox
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Athletics 59% / Chicago White Sox 41%. Projected Athletics 4.6 — 4.3 Chicago White Sox.

Our MLB model rates Athletics as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 88-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1444) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Chicago White Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Chicago White Sox ML at -167 at -167. Pre-game: model 67.1% vs market 60.0% implied, a +7.1pp edge.

What happened: Athletics 1 @ Chicago White Sox 14.

Bet returned +1.20u on 2u risked.

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