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Athletics vs Boston Red Sox — 2026-08-07

7:10 PM ETFenway ParkSP: Jack Perkins vs Payton TolleMLBFINAL
Recap

Boston Red Sox won 13-1 over Athletics on 2026-08-07. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 12 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Athletics
54%
Boston Red Sox
46%
Projected
Athletics 4.5 - 4.4 Sox

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Athletics as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 51-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Athletics
No recent games on file.
Boston Red Sox
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Athletics 54% / Boston Red Sox 46%. Projected Athletics 4.5 — 4.4 Boston Red Sox.

Our MLB model rates Athletics as the more likely winner at 54%. The driver is a 51-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1482) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Red Sox would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Over 9.0 at -106 at -106. Pre-game: model 55.8% vs market 49.1% implied, a +6.7pp edge.

What happened: Total: 14 (line: over 9).

Bet returned +0.94u on 1u risked.

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