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Athletics vs Seattle Mariners — 2026-09-04

10:10 PM ETT-Mobile ParkSP: Kade Morris vs Logan GilbertMLBFINAL
Recap

Athletics won 7-6 over Seattle Mariners on 2026-09-04. Margin of 1 run.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Athletics
53%
Seattle Mariners
47%
Projected
Athletics 4.5 - 4.4 Mariners

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Athletics as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 42-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Athletics
No recent games on file.
Seattle Mariners
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Athletics 53% / Seattle Mariners 47%. Projected Athletics 4.5 — 4.4 Seattle Mariners.

Our MLB model rates Athletics as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a 42-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1491) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Seattle Mariners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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