HomeMLB › Athletics vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Athletics vs Arizona Diamondbacks — 2026-07-22

3:40 PM ETChase FieldSP: Gage Jump vs Merrill KellyMLBFINAL
Recap

Arizona Diamondbacks won 15-5 over Athletics on 2026-07-22. Margin of 10 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Athletics
45%
Arizona Diamondbacks
55%
Projected
Athletics 4.4 - 4.5 Diamondbacks

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 12-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1533) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Athletics would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Athletics
No recent games on file.
Arizona Diamondbacks
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What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Athletics 45% / Arizona Diamondbacks 55%. Projected Athletics 4.4 — 4.5 Arizona Diamondbacks.

Our MLB model rates Arizona Diamondbacks as the more likely winner at 55%. The driver is a 12-point Elo gap (1544 vs 1533) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Athletics would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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