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Athletics vs Houston Astros — 2026-08-21

8:10 PM ETDaikin ParkSP: J.T. Ginn vs Hayden WesneskiMLBFINAL
Recap

Houston Astros won 4-0 over Athletics on 2026-08-21. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 4 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Athletics
56%
Houston Astros
44%
Projected
Athletics 4.6 - 4.3 Astros

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Athletics as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 68-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Athletics
No recent games on file.
Houston Astros
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Athletics 56% / Houston Astros 44%. Projected Athletics 4.6 — 4.3 Houston Astros.

Our MLB model rates Athletics as the more likely winner at 56%. The driver is a 68-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Athletics ML at +170 at +170. Pre-game: model 41.9% vs market 36.5% implied, a +5.5pp edge.

What happened: Athletics 0 @ Houston Astros 4.

Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.

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