Houston Astros won 9-7 over New York Yankees on 2026-08-25. Our pre-game pick hit. Margin of 2 runs.
Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 38-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Houston Astros 41% / New York Yankees 59%. Projected Houston Astros 4.4 — 4.5 New York Yankees.
Our MLB model rates New York Yankees as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 38-point Elo gap (1502 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Over 8.5 at -123 at -123. Pre-game: model 60.5% vs market 52.7% implied, a +7.8pp edge.
What happened: Total: 16 (line: over 8.5).
Bet returned +1.22u on 1.5u risked.
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