Houston Astros beat Chicago White Sox 9-5, a 4-runs margin. We projected Houston Astros 4.5-4.4 Chicago White Sox and gave Chicago White Sox a 51% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Chicago White Sox as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -20-point Elo gap (1444 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Houston Astros 49% / Chicago White Sox 51%. Projected Houston Astros 4.5 — 4.4 Chicago White Sox.
Our MLB model rates Chicago White Sox as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -20-point Elo gap (1444 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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