Houston Astros beat Detroit Tigers 2-1, a 1-run margin. We projected Houston Astros 4.4-4.5 Detroit Tigers and gave Detroit Tigers a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Houston Astros 41% / Detroit Tigers 59%. Projected Houston Astros 4.4 — 4.5 Detroit Tigers.
Our MLB model rates Detroit Tigers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 36-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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