Kansas City Royals beat Houston Astros 4-0, a 4-runs margin. We projected Houston Astros 4.5-4.4 Kansas City Royals and gave Kansas City Royals a 52% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our MLB model rates Kansas City Royals as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -10-point Elo gap (1455 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Houston Astros 48% / Kansas City Royals 52%. Projected Houston Astros 4.5 — 4.4 Kansas City Royals.
Our MLB model rates Kansas City Royals as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -10-point Elo gap (1455 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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