Tampa Bay Rays won 3-1 over Houston Astros on 2026-09-11. Margin of 2 runs.
Our MLB model rates Tampa Bay Rays as the more likely winner at 64%. The driver is a 72-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Houston Astros 36% / Tampa Bay Rays 64%. Projected Houston Astros 4.3 — 4.6 Tampa Bay Rays.
Our MLB model rates Tampa Bay Rays as the more likely winner at 64%. The driver is a 72-point Elo gap (1537 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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