Houston Astros won 6-5 over Philadelphia Phillies on 2026-09-08. Margin of 1 run.
Our MLB model rates Philadelphia Phillies as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -15-point Elo gap (1450 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Houston Astros 49% / Philadelphia Phillies 51%. Projected Houston Astros 4.5 — 4.4 Philadelphia Phillies.
Our MLB model rates Philadelphia Phillies as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a -15-point Elo gap (1450 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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