New York Mets won 6-2 over Houston Astros on 2026-08-29. Margin of 4 runs.
Our MLB model rates Houston Astros as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 28-point Elo gap (1464 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Houston Astros 51% / New York Mets 49%. Projected Houston Astros 4.5 — 4.4 New York Mets.
Our MLB model rates Houston Astros as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 28-point Elo gap (1464 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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