Houston Astros won 3-1 over New York Mets on 2026-08-28. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 2 runs.
Our MLB model rates Houston Astros as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 28-point Elo gap (1464 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Houston Astros 51% / New York Mets 49%. Projected Houston Astros 4.5 — 4.4 New York Mets.
Our MLB model rates Houston Astros as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 28-point Elo gap (1464 vs 1437) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Mets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: New York Mets ML at +114 at +114. Pre-game: model 49.1% vs market 46.0% implied, a +3.2pp edge.
What happened: Houston Astros 3 @ New York Mets 1.
Bet returned -1.00u on 1u risked.
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