Toronto Blue Jays beat Houston Astros 4-2, a 2-runs margin. We projected Houston Astros 4.5-4.4 Toronto Blue Jays and gave Toronto Blue Jays a 52% win probability pre-game and our favorite held. Our published pick hit.
Our MLB model rates Toronto Blue Jays as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -12-point Elo gap (1453 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Houston Astros 48% / Toronto Blue Jays 52%. Projected Houston Astros 4.5 — 4.4 Toronto Blue Jays.
Our MLB model rates Toronto Blue Jays as the more likely winner at 52%. The driver is a -12-point Elo gap (1453 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game call: Under 7.5 at -122 at -122. Pre-game: model 60.1% vs market 52.6% implied, a +7.5pp edge.
What happened: Total: 6 (line: under 7.5).
Bet returned +0.82u on 1u risked.
Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.