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Houston Astros vs Athletics — 2026-09-26

9:40 PM ETSutter Health ParkSP: Hayden Wesneski vs Jack PerkinsMLBFINAL
Recap

Houston Astros won 13-2 over Athletics on 2026-09-26. Margin of 11 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Houston Astros
37%
Athletics
63%
Projected
Astros 4.3 - 4.6 Athletics

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Athletics as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 68-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Houston Astros
No recent games on file.
Athletics
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Houston Astros 37% / Athletics 63%. Projected Houston Astros 4.3 — 4.6 Athletics.

Our MLB model rates Athletics as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 68-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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