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Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins — 2026-07-11

2:10 PM ETTarget FieldSP: Ryan Johnson vs Joe RyanMLB

Model prediction

Los Angeles Angels
41%
Minnesota Twins
59%
Projected
Angels 4.4 - 4.5 Twins

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Minnesota Twins as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 37-point Elo gap (1533 vs 1496) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Los Angeles Angels would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Los Angeles Angels
No recent games on file.
Minnesota Twins
No recent games on file.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Minnesota Twins ML at -179 at -179. Pre-game: model 67.1% vs market 61.8% implied, a +5.3pp edge.

What happened: Los Angeles Angels 3 @ Minnesota Twins 5.

Bet returned +1.12u on 2u risked.

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