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Los Angeles Angels vs Miami Marlins — 2026-08-07

7:10 PM ETloanDepot parkSP: George Klassen vs Tyler PhillipsMLBFINAL
Recap

Los Angeles Angels won 4-3 over Miami Marlins on 2026-08-07. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 1 run.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Los Angeles Angels
47%
Miami Marlins
53%
Projected
Angels 4.5 - 4.4 Marlins

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a -4-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1496) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Los Angeles Angels would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Los Angeles Angels
No recent games on file.
Miami Marlins
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Los Angeles Angels 47% / Miami Marlins 53%. Projected Los Angeles Angels 4.5 — 4.4 Miami Marlins.

Our MLB model rates Miami Marlins as the more likely winner at 53%. The driver is a -4-point Elo gap (1492 vs 1496) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Los Angeles Angels would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Miami Marlins ML at -154 at -154. Pre-game: model 65.6% vs market 59.7% implied, a +6.0pp edge.

What happened: Los Angeles Angels 4 @ Miami Marlins 3.

Bet returned -2.00u on 2u risked.

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