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Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros — 2026-08-20

8:10 PM ETDaikin ParkSP: Grayson Rodriguez vs Peter LambertMLBFINAL
Recap

Los Angeles Angels won 18-3 over Houston Astros on 2026-08-20. Our pre-game pick missed. Margin of 15 runs.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Los Angeles Angels
51%
Houston Astros
49%
Projected
Angels 4.5 - 4.4 Astros

What our model sees

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Angels as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 31-point Elo gap (1496 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Los Angeles Angels
No recent games on file.
Houston Astros
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Los Angeles Angels 51% / Houston Astros 49%. Projected Los Angeles Angels 4.5 — 4.4 Houston Astros.

Our MLB model rates Los Angeles Angels as the more likely winner at 51%. The driver is a 31-point Elo gap (1496 vs 1464) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Houston Astros would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Our model said X. Here's what happened.

Pre-game call: Houston Astros ML at -178 at -178. Pre-game: model 67.6% vs market 62.9% implied, a +4.7pp edge.

What happened: Los Angeles Angels 18 @ Houston Astros 3.

Bet returned -2.00u on 2u risked.

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