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West Georgia Wolves vs Arkansas State Red Wolves — 2026-09-12

7:00 PM ETCentennial Bank StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Arkansas State Red Wolves beat West Georgia Wolves 52-7, a 45-points margin. We projected West Georgia Wolves 26.0-26.0 Arkansas State Red Wolves and gave Arkansas State Red Wolves a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

West Georgia Wolves
41%
Arkansas State Red Wolves
59%
Projected
Wolves 26.0 - 26.0 Wolves

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Arkansas State Red Wolves as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. West Georgia Wolves would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

West Georgia Wolves
No recent games on file.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: West Georgia Wolves 41% / Arkansas State Red Wolves 59%. Projected West Georgia Wolves 26 — 26 Arkansas State Red Wolves.

Our CFB model rates Arkansas State Red Wolves as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. West Georgia Wolves would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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