Memphis Tigers beat Arkansas State Red Wolves 42-24, a 18-points margin. We projected Arkansas State Red Wolves 26.0-26.0 Memphis Tigers and gave Memphis Tigers a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our CFB model rates Memphis Tigers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Arkansas State Red Wolves would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Arkansas State Red Wolves 41% / Memphis Tigers 59%. Projected Arkansas State Red Wolves 26 — 26 Memphis Tigers.
Our CFB model rates Memphis Tigers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Arkansas State Red Wolves would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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