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Michigan Wolverines vs Minnesota Golden Gophers — 2026-10-03

12:00 PM ETHuntington Bank StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Minnesota Golden Gophers beat Michigan Wolverines 20-14, a 6-points margin. We projected Michigan Wolverines 26.0-26.0 Minnesota Golden Gophers and gave Minnesota Golden Gophers a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Michigan Wolverines
41%
Minnesota Golden Gophers
59%
Projected
Wolverines 26.0 - 26.0 Gophers

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Minnesota Golden Gophers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Michigan Wolverines would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Michigan Wolverines
No recent games on file.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Michigan Wolverines 41% / Minnesota Golden Gophers 59%. Projected Michigan Wolverines 26 — 26 Minnesota Golden Gophers.

Our CFB model rates Minnesota Golden Gophers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Michigan Wolverines would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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