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Villanova Wildcats vs Louisville Cardinals — 2026-09-11

7:00 PM ETL&N Federal Credit Union StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Louisville Cardinals beat Villanova Wildcats 59-13, a 46-points margin. We projected Villanova Wildcats 26.0-26.0 Louisville Cardinals and gave Louisville Cardinals a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Villanova Wildcats
41%
Louisville Cardinals
59%
Projected
Wildcats 26.0 - 26.0 Cardinals

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Louisville Cardinals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Villanova Wildcats would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Villanova Wildcats
No recent games on file.
Louisville Cardinals
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Villanova Wildcats 41% / Louisville Cardinals 59%. Projected Villanova Wildcats 26 — 26 Louisville Cardinals.

Our CFB model rates Louisville Cardinals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Villanova Wildcats would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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