Cincinnati Bearcats beat Kansas State Wildcats 31-26, a 5-points margin. We projected Kansas State Wildcats 26.0-26.0 Cincinnati Bearcats and gave Cincinnati Bearcats a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our CFB model rates Cincinnati Bearcats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas State Wildcats would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Kansas State Wildcats 41% / Cincinnati Bearcats 59%. Projected Kansas State Wildcats 26 — 26 Cincinnati Bearcats.
Our CFB model rates Cincinnati Bearcats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas State Wildcats would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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