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Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors vs Stanford Cardinal — 2026-08-29

7:00 PM ETStanford StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Stanford Cardinal beat Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 37-27, a 10-points margin. We projected Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 26.0-26.0 Stanford Cardinal and gave Stanford Cardinal a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
41%
Stanford Cardinal
59%
Projected
Warriors 26.0 - 26.0 Cardinal

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Stanford Cardinal as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
No recent games on file.
Stanford Cardinal
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 41% / Stanford Cardinal 59%. Projected Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 26 — 26 Stanford Cardinal.

Our CFB model rates Stanford Cardinal as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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