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Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks — 2026-10-10

4:15 PM ETDonald W. Reynolds Razorback StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Tennessee Volunteers beat Arkansas Razorbacks 24-17, a 7-points margin. We projected Tennessee Volunteers 26.0-26.0 Arkansas Razorbacks and gave Arkansas Razorbacks a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Tennessee Volunteers
41%
Arkansas Razorbacks
59%
Projected
Volunteers 26.0 - 26.0 Razorbacks

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Arkansas Razorbacks as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Tennessee Volunteers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Tennessee Volunteers
No recent games on file.
Arkansas Razorbacks
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Tennessee Volunteers 41% / Arkansas Razorbacks 59%. Projected Tennessee Volunteers 26 — 26 Arkansas Razorbacks.

Our CFB model rates Arkansas Razorbacks as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Tennessee Volunteers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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