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Utah Utes vs Iowa State Cyclones — 2026-09-26

3:30 PM ETJack Trice StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Utah Utes beat Iowa State Cyclones 31-17, a 14-points margin. We projected Utah Utes 26.0-26.0 Iowa State Cyclones and gave Iowa State Cyclones a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Utah Utes
41%
Iowa State Cyclones
59%
Projected
Utes 26.0 - 26.0 Cyclones

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Iowa State Cyclones as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Utah Utes would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Utah Utes
No recent games on file.
Iowa State Cyclones
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Utah Utes 41% / Iowa State Cyclones 59%. Projected Utah Utes 26 — 26 Iowa State Cyclones.

Our CFB model rates Iowa State Cyclones as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Utah Utes would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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