USC Trojans beat Penn State Nittany Lions 31-23, a 8-points margin. We projected USC Trojans 26.0-26.0 Penn State Nittany Lions and gave Penn State Nittany Lions a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our CFB model rates Penn State Nittany Lions as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. USC Trojans would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: USC Trojans 41% / Penn State Nittany Lions 59%. Projected USC Trojans 26 — 26 Penn State Nittany Lions.
Our CFB model rates Penn State Nittany Lions as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. USC Trojans would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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