Utah State Aggies beat Troy Trojans 21-10, a 11-points margin. We projected Troy Trojans 26.0-26.0 Utah State Aggies and gave Utah State Aggies a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our CFB model rates Utah State Aggies as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Troy Trojans would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Troy Trojans 41% / Utah State Aggies 59%. Projected Troy Trojans 26 — 26 Utah State Aggies.
Our CFB model rates Utah State Aggies as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Troy Trojans would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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