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LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats — 2026-10-10

7:00 PM ETKroger FieldCFBFINAL
Recap

Kentucky Wildcats beat LSU Tigers 35-34, a 1-point margin. We projected LSU Tigers 26.0-26.0 Kentucky Wildcats and gave Kentucky Wildcats a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

LSU Tigers
41%
Kentucky Wildcats
59%
Projected
Tigers 26.0 - 26.0 Wildcats

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Kentucky Wildcats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. LSU Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

LSU Tigers
No recent games on file.
Kentucky Wildcats
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: LSU Tigers 41% / Kentucky Wildcats 59%. Projected LSU Tigers 26 — 26 Kentucky Wildcats.

Our CFB model rates Kentucky Wildcats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. LSU Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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