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Texas Southern Tigers vs Florida Atlantic Owls — 2026-10-03

6:00 PM ETFlagler Credit Union StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Florida Atlantic Owls beat Texas Southern Tigers 66-10, a 56-points margin. We projected Texas Southern Tigers 26.0-26.0 Florida Atlantic Owls and gave Florida Atlantic Owls a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Texas Southern Tigers
41%
Florida Atlantic Owls
59%
Projected
Tigers 26.0 - 26.0 Owls

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Florida Atlantic Owls as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Texas Southern Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Texas Southern Tigers
No recent games on file.
Florida Atlantic Owls
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Texas Southern Tigers 41% / Florida Atlantic Owls 59%. Projected Texas Southern Tigers 26 — 26 Florida Atlantic Owls.

Our CFB model rates Florida Atlantic Owls as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Texas Southern Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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