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Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs — 2026-09-26

7:45 PM ETDavis Wade StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Mississippi State Bulldogs beat Missouri Tigers 31-24, a 7-points margin. We projected Missouri Tigers 26.0-26.0 Mississippi State Bulldogs and gave Mississippi State Bulldogs a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Missouri Tigers
41%
Mississippi State Bulldogs
59%
Projected
Tigers 26.0 - 26.0 Bulldogs

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Mississippi State Bulldogs as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Missouri Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Missouri Tigers
No recent games on file.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Missouri Tigers 41% / Mississippi State Bulldogs 59%. Projected Missouri Tigers 26 — 26 Mississippi State Bulldogs.

Our CFB model rates Mississippi State Bulldogs as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Missouri Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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