Boise State Broncos beat Memphis Tigers 38-20, a 18-points margin. We projected Memphis Tigers 26.0-26.0 Boise State Broncos and gave Boise State Broncos a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our CFB model rates Boise State Broncos as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Memphis Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Memphis Tigers 41% / Boise State Broncos 59%. Projected Memphis Tigers 26 — 26 Boise State Broncos.
Our CFB model rates Boise State Broncos as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Memphis Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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