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Memphis Tigers vs Charlotte 49ers — 2026-10-03

11:00 AM ETJerry Richardson StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Memphis Tigers beat Charlotte 49ers 59-8, a 51-points margin. We projected Memphis Tigers 26.0-26.0 Charlotte 49ers and gave Charlotte 49ers a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Memphis Tigers
41%
Charlotte 49ers
59%
Projected
Tigers 26.0 - 26.0 49ers

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Charlotte 49ers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Memphis Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Memphis Tigers
No recent games on file.
Charlotte 49ers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Memphis Tigers 41% / Charlotte 49ers 59%. Projected Memphis Tigers 26 — 26 Charlotte 49ers.

Our CFB model rates Charlotte 49ers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Memphis Tigers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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