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San José State Spartans vs USC Trojans — 2026-08-29

3:00 PM ETLos Angeles Memorial ColiseumCFBFINAL
Recap

USC Trojans beat San José State Spartans 42-26, a 16-points margin. We projected San José State Spartans 26.0-26.0 USC Trojans and gave USC Trojans a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

San José State Spartans
41%
USC Trojans
59%
Projected
Spartans 26.0 - 26.0 Trojans

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates USC Trojans as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San José State Spartans would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

San José State Spartans
No recent games on file.
USC Trojans
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What we said before the game

Pre-game model: San José State Spartans 41% / USC Trojans 59%. Projected San José State Spartans 26 — 26 USC Trojans.

Our CFB model rates USC Trojans as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San José State Spartans would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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