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San José State Spartans vs Eastern Michigan Eagles — 2026-09-04

6:30 PM ETRynearson StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

San José State Spartans beat Eastern Michigan Eagles 27-21, a 6-points margin. We projected San José State Spartans 26.0-26.0 Eastern Michigan Eagles and gave Eastern Michigan Eagles a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

San José State Spartans
41%
Eastern Michigan Eagles
59%
Projected
Spartans 26.0 - 26.0 Eagles

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Eastern Michigan Eagles as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San José State Spartans would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

San José State Spartans
No recent games on file.
Eastern Michigan Eagles
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: San José State Spartans 41% / Eastern Michigan Eagles 59%. Projected San José State Spartans 26 — 26 Eastern Michigan Eagles.

Our CFB model rates Eastern Michigan Eagles as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. San José State Spartans would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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