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Norfolk State Spartans vs Virginia Cavaliers — 2026-09-11

7:00 PM ETScott StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Virginia Cavaliers beat Norfolk State Spartans 59-3, a 56-points margin. We projected Norfolk State Spartans 26.0-26.0 Virginia Cavaliers and gave Virginia Cavaliers a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Norfolk State Spartans
41%
Virginia Cavaliers
59%
Projected
Spartans 26.0 - 26.0 Cavaliers

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Virginia Cavaliers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Norfolk State Spartans would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Norfolk State Spartans
No recent games on file.
Virginia Cavaliers
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What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Norfolk State Spartans 41% / Virginia Cavaliers 59%. Projected Norfolk State Spartans 26 — 26 Virginia Cavaliers.

Our CFB model rates Virginia Cavaliers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Norfolk State Spartans would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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