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Oklahoma Sooners vs Michigan Wolverines — 2026-09-12

12:00 PM ETMichigan StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Michigan Wolverines beat Oklahoma Sooners 17-10, a 7-points margin. We projected Oklahoma Sooners 26.0-26.0 Michigan Wolverines and gave Michigan Wolverines a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Oklahoma Sooners
41%
Michigan Wolverines
59%
Projected
Sooners 26.0 - 26.0 Wolverines

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Michigan Wolverines as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Oklahoma Sooners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Oklahoma Sooners
No recent games on file.
Michigan Wolverines
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Oklahoma Sooners 41% / Michigan Wolverines 59%. Projected Oklahoma Sooners 26 — 26 Michigan Wolverines.

Our CFB model rates Michigan Wolverines as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Oklahoma Sooners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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