Ball State Cardinals beat Stony Brook Seawolves 41-17, a 24-points margin. We projected Stony Brook Seawolves 26.0-26.0 Ball State Cardinals and gave Ball State Cardinals a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our CFB model rates Ball State Cardinals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Stony Brook Seawolves would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Stony Brook Seawolves 41% / Ball State Cardinals 59%. Projected Stony Brook Seawolves 26 — 26 Ball State Cardinals.
Our CFB model rates Ball State Cardinals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Stony Brook Seawolves would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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