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Wagner Seahawks vs James Madison Dukes — 2026-09-12

12:00 PM ETBridgeforth StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

James Madison Dukes beat Wagner Seahawks 87-3, a 84-points margin. We projected Wagner Seahawks 26.0-26.0 James Madison Dukes and gave James Madison Dukes a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Wagner Seahawks
41%
James Madison Dukes
59%
Projected
Seahawks 26.0 - 26.0 Dukes

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates James Madison Dukes as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Wagner Seahawks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Wagner Seahawks
No recent games on file.
James Madison Dukes
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Wagner Seahawks 41% / James Madison Dukes 59%. Projected Wagner Seahawks 26 — 26 James Madison Dukes.

Our CFB model rates James Madison Dukes as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Wagner Seahawks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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