Toledo Rockets beat Ball State Cardinals 39-24, a 15-points margin. We projected Toledo Rockets 26.0-26.0 Ball State Cardinals and gave Ball State Cardinals a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our CFB model rates Ball State Cardinals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toledo Rockets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Toledo Rockets 41% / Ball State Cardinals 59%. Projected Toledo Rockets 26 — 26 Ball State Cardinals.
Our CFB model rates Ball State Cardinals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Toledo Rockets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.