Home › CFB › UTSA Roadrunners vs Rice Owls

UTSA Roadrunners vs Rice Owls — 2026-10-03

7:00 PM ETFirst Community StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

UTSA Roadrunners beat Rice Owls 16-14, a 2-points margin. We projected UTSA Roadrunners 26.0-26.0 Rice Owls and gave Rice Owls a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

UTSA Roadrunners
41%
Rice Owls
59%
Projected
Roadrunners 26.0 - 26.0 Owls

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Rice Owls as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. UTSA Roadrunners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

UTSA Roadrunners
No recent games on file.
Rice Owls
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: UTSA Roadrunners 41% / Rice Owls 59%. Projected UTSA Roadrunners 26 — 26 Rice Owls.

Our CFB model rates Rice Owls as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. UTSA Roadrunners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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