UTSA Roadrunners beat Texas State Bobcats 31-26, a 5-points margin. We projected UTSA Roadrunners 26.0-26.0 Texas State Bobcats and gave Texas State Bobcats a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our CFB model rates Texas State Bobcats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. UTSA Roadrunners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: UTSA Roadrunners 41% / Texas State Bobcats 59%. Projected UTSA Roadrunners 26 — 26 Texas State Bobcats.
Our CFB model rates Texas State Bobcats as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. UTSA Roadrunners would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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