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Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen — 2026-10-10

2:00 PM ETWarren McGuirk Alumni StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Miami (OH) RedHawks beat Massachusetts Minutemen 20-19, a 1-point margin. We projected Miami (OH) RedHawks 26.0-26.0 Massachusetts Minutemen and gave Massachusetts Minutemen a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Miami (OH) RedHawks
41%
Massachusetts Minutemen
59%
Projected
RedHawks 26.0 - 26.0 Minutemen

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Massachusetts Minutemen as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Miami (OH) RedHawks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Miami (OH) RedHawks
No recent games on file.
Massachusetts Minutemen
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Miami (OH) RedHawks 41% / Massachusetts Minutemen 59%. Projected Miami (OH) RedHawks 26 — 26 Massachusetts Minutemen.

Our CFB model rates Massachusetts Minutemen as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Miami (OH) RedHawks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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