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Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs Iowa State Cyclones — 2026-09-05

1:00 PM ETJack Trice StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Iowa State Cyclones beat Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 38-10, a 28-points margin. We projected Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 26.0-26.0 Iowa State Cyclones and gave Iowa State Cyclones a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
41%
Iowa State Cyclones
59%
Projected
Redhawks 26.0 - 26.0 Cyclones

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Iowa State Cyclones as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
No recent games on file.
Iowa State Cyclones
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 41% / Iowa State Cyclones 59%. Projected Southeast Missouri State Redhawks 26 — 26 Iowa State Cyclones.

Our CFB model rates Iowa State Cyclones as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Southeast Missouri State Redhawks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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