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Illinois State Redbirds vs Northern Illinois Huskies — 2026-09-12

7:00 PM ETHuskie StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Illinois State Redbirds beat Northern Illinois Huskies 28-24, a 4-points margin. We projected Illinois State Redbirds 26.0-26.0 Northern Illinois Huskies and gave Northern Illinois Huskies a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Illinois State Redbirds
41%
Northern Illinois Huskies
59%
Projected
Redbirds 26.0 - 26.0 Huskies

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Northern Illinois Huskies as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Illinois State Redbirds would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Illinois State Redbirds
No recent games on file.
Northern Illinois Huskies
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Illinois State Redbirds 41% / Northern Illinois Huskies 59%. Projected Illinois State Redbirds 26 — 26 Northern Illinois Huskies.

Our CFB model rates Northern Illinois Huskies as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Illinois State Redbirds would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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