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Ole Miss Rebels vs Vanderbilt Commodores — 2026-10-10

3:30 PM ETFirstBank StadiumCFBFINAL
Recap

Ole Miss Rebels beat Vanderbilt Commodores 52-17, a 35-points margin. We projected Ole Miss Rebels 26.0-26.0 Vanderbilt Commodores and gave Vanderbilt Commodores a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Ole Miss Rebels
41%
Vanderbilt Commodores
59%
Projected
Rebels 26.0 - 26.0 Commodores

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates Vanderbilt Commodores as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Ole Miss Rebels would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Ole Miss Rebels
No recent games on file.
Vanderbilt Commodores
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Ole Miss Rebels 41% / Vanderbilt Commodores 59%. Projected Ole Miss Rebels 26 — 26 Vanderbilt Commodores.

Our CFB model rates Vanderbilt Commodores as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Ole Miss Rebels would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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