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Colorado State Rams vs UTSA Roadrunners — 2026-09-26

12:00 PM ETAlamodomeCFBFINAL
Recap

UTSA Roadrunners beat Colorado State Rams 59-45, a 14-points margin. We projected Colorado State Rams 26.0-26.0 UTSA Roadrunners and gave UTSA Roadrunners a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Colorado State Rams
41%
UTSA Roadrunners
59%
Projected
Rams 26.0 - 26.0 Roadrunners

What our model sees

Our CFB model rates UTSA Roadrunners as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colorado State Rams would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Colorado State Rams
No recent games on file.
UTSA Roadrunners
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Colorado State Rams 41% / UTSA Roadrunners 59%. Projected Colorado State Rams 26 — 26 UTSA Roadrunners.

Our CFB model rates UTSA Roadrunners as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Colorado State Rams would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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